Well, I guess I should join in on this right away. I just finished reading the Iraq Study Group report and skimming several of the liberal blog reactions to its content. These reactions range from believing that this document is the Holy Grail to prove them right to sentiments that it could be better used for toilet paper.
There are some important aspects to the ISG and I think one of the most important is the letter that actually precedes any of the findings in the document. It says that the situation in Iraq is grave and that there is no clear strategy or plan that can win. It even states that their own recommendations are flawed, but they are believed to be the most appropriate given the current situation.
I have a few I want to discuss, so I may spread this our over several posts.
In this article I will address the suggestion to involve Syria and Iran, by engaging in “offensive diplomacy” designed to make them a positive force for Iraqi stability. Wow. That sounds so nice, but let’s examine what that really means. We are talking about Iran and Syria, two nations most heavily involved in supporting terrorism and the insurgents that are CAUSING the instability in Iraq. What are we supposed to do? Are we supposed to sit down with Ahmadinejad and ask him to kindly stop training insurgents and supporting the Shia militants in Iraq. The ISG even comments on the possibility that this would actually work:
“Our limited contacts with Iran’s government lead us to believe that its leaders are likely to say they will not participate in diplomatic efforts to support stability in Iraq.”
Alright, so what are we supposed to do then? Remember this is the same man who just made the comment that the west will follow the path of God or die:
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has warned Western leaders to follow the path of God or “vanish from the face of the earth”.
“These oppressive countries are angry with us … a nation that on the other side of the globe has risen up and proved the shallowness of their power,” Ahmadinejad said in a speech in the northern town of Ramsar, the semi-official news agency Mehr reported Wednesday.
“They are angry with our nation. But we tell them ‘so be it and die from this anger’. Rest assured that if you do not respond to the divine call, you will die soon and vanish from the face of the earth,” he said.
The outspoken president also maintained Iran’s defiance over its controversial nuclear programme, saying it was on course to fully master nuclear technology.
“Thank to God’s help, we have gone all the way and are only one step away from the zenith. We hope to have the big nuclear celebration by the end of the year (March 2007),” Ahmadinejad said, echoing comments he has made on numerous occasions in recent months.
Are we then to turn to Syria, Hamas and Hezbollah? The ISG recommends the following for dealing with Syria and the Arab-Israeli conflict.
RECOMMENDATION 13: There must be a renewed and sustained commitment by the United States to a comprehensive Arab-Israeli peace on all fronts: Lebanon and Syria, and President Bush’s June 2002 commitment to a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine.
RECOMMENDATION 14: This effort should include—as soon as possible—the unconditional calling and holding of meetings, under the auspices of the United States or the Quartet (i.e., the United States, Russia, European Union, and the United Nations), between Israel and Lebanon and Syria on the one hand, and Israel and Palestinians (who acknowledge Israel’s right to exist) on the other. The purpose of these meetings would be to negotiate peace as was done at the Madrid Conference in 1991, and on two separate tracks— one Syrian/Lebanese, and the other Palestinian.
RECOMMENDATION 15: Concerning Syria, some elements of that negotiated peace should be:
- Syria’s full adherence to UN Security Council Resolution 1701 of August 2006, which provides the framework for Lebanon to regain sovereign control over its territory.
- Syria’s full cooperation with all investigations into political assassinations in Lebanon, especially those of Rafik Hariri and Pierre Gemay el.
- A verifiable cessation of Syrian aid to Hezbollah and the use of Syrian territory for transshipment of Iranian weapons and aid to Hezbollah. (This step would do much to solve Israel’s problem with Hezbollah.)
- Syria’s use of its influence with Hamas and Hezbollah for the release of the captured Israeli Defense Force soldiers.
- A verifiable cessation of Syrian efforts to undermine the democratically elected government of Lebanon. A verifiable cessation of arms shipments from or transiting through Syria for Hamas and other radical Palestinian groups.
- A Syrian commitment to help obtain from Hamas an acknowledgment of Israel’s right to exist.
- Greater Syrian efforts to seal its border with Iraq.
RECOMMENDATION 16: In exchange for these actions and in the context of a full and secure peace agreement, the Israelis should return the Golan Heights, with a U.S. security guaran- tee for Israel that could include an international force on the border, including U.S. troops if requested by both parties.
RECOMMENDATION 17: Concerning the Palestinian issue, elements of that negotiated peace should include:
- Adherence to UN Security Council Resolutions 242 and 338 and to the principle of land for peace, which are the only bases for achieving peace.
- Strong support for Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority to take the lead in preparing the way for negotiations with Israel.
- A major effort to move from the current hostilities by consolidating the cease-fire reached between the Palestinians and the Israelis in November 2006.
- Support for a Palestinian national unity government.
- Sustainable negotiations leading to a final peace settlement along the lines of President Bush’s two-state solution, which would address the key final status issues of borders, settlements, Jerusalem, the right of return, and the end of conflict.
Well all those ideas sound wonderfully simple, accept for the fact that they have failed miserably in the past. You cannot expect organizations whose sole stated goal is the destruction of Israel, to take an active role in securing peace with them. According to Hezbollah and Hamas’ charters even negotiating with Israel is seen as a wholly condemnable act.
One statement that I was surprised that the ISG listed as critical was:
- No American administration—Democratic or Republican— will ever abandon Israel.
Wow, I bet that is a stretch for some to swallow.
The problem with the sections dealing Iran and Syria is that they rely on the willingness of terrorist supporting governments to honestly participate in an effort to ensure stability and peace in Iraq and Israel. The sections encourage talks and diplomacy with radical fascists and terrorist. History has shown us how dangerous and ineffectual this is. We cannot trust nations such as Iran, Syria or North Korea until they have shown at the very least a willingness to abandon the extremist positions that they hold. Even then we must rely on Reagan’s principle of “Trust, but Verify” and “Peace Through Strength.” If we do not, we set ourselves up much as Chamberlain did with Hitler.
I believe there is a change needed in Iraq. I agree with the ISG’s assertion that the Iraqi government must start handling issues of security and combat. If a nation cannot show that it is capable and willing to defend itself, then it cannot hope to survive. I just feel that we cannot afford to hinge our hope on the good
will of nations who openly state that the welcome our destruction and the destruction of our allies.